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DeepSeek AI / NVIDIA’s worst AI nightmare
« Last post by Badshah Mamun on January 29, 2025, 12:08:11 PM »
NVIDIA’s worst AI nightmare

Netflix ate Blockbuster for lunch. Amazon decimated all of retail. And Uber and Zoom reinvented transport.

The disruption and reinvention of every industry is rapidly becoming the new normal.

This week, a small open-source player out of China called DeepSeek is disrupting AI giants OpenAI and NVIDIA.

But this is just the beginning! The coming industry disruptions will accelerate fast and furiously on the heels of AI, AGI, and ultimately digital super intelligence.

First the tech players, next healthcare, then financial services, and education will be reinvented. Get ready of the roaring 20’s. They are here.

Why is everyone up in arms about DeepSeek?

Here’s the data:

OpenAI was founded 10 years ago, has around 4,500 employees, and has raised $6.6 billion in capital.

DeepSeek was founded less than 2 years ago, has 200 employees, and was developed for roughly $5 million.

Here's the Disruption: While tech giants like OpenAI and Anthropic have been spending $100M+ just to train their AI models, this small 200-person team out of China built an AI system matching GPT-4's performance for 20x less money.

How did they achieve the impossible? Three Moonshot innovations that are absolutely mind-blowing:

#1. Precision Reimagined: Instead of using computational overkill (32 decimal places), they proved 8 is enough. Result? 75% less memory needed. Sometimes the most powerful innovations come from questioning basic assumptions.

#2. The Speed Revolution: Traditional AI reads like a first-grader: "The... cat... sat..." But DeepSeek's multi-token system processes whole phrases at once: 2x faster, 90% as accurate. When you're processing billions of words, this is transformative.

#3. The Expert System: Instead of one massive AI trying to know everything (imagine one person being a doctor, lawyer, AND an engineer), they built a system of specialists. Traditional models? 1.8 trillion parameters active ALL THE TIME. DeepSeek? 671 billion in total, but only 37 billion active at once. It's pure genius.

The results are staggering:

Training costs slashed from $100M to $5M
GPU requirements slashed from 100,000 GPUs to 2,000 GPUs
95% reduction in API costs
Runs on gaming GPUs instead of specialized hardware
They did this with a team <200 people, not thousands
But here's what makes this truly revolutionary: It's all open source.

Anyone can verify, build upon, and implement these innovations. This isn't just technological progress—it’s the democratization of AI at an unprecedented scale.

Think about what this means:

The "only-big-tech-can-play" era is OVER
Innovation barriers have been shattered
A few good GPUs might be all you need
The playing field has been leveled
For incumbents like NVIDIA, this is terrifying. Their business model of selling super-expensive GPUs with 90% margins? That moat just turned into a puddle.

And DeepSeek did all this with fewer than 200 people. Meanwhile, Meta has teams whose compensation alone exceeds DeepSeek's entire training budget... and their models aren't even as good.

This feels like one of those moments we'll look back on as an inflection point, like when PCs disrupted mainframes or cloud computing changed everything. The efficiency genie is out of the bottle, and there's no going back.

The question isn't whether this will transform AI development—it’s what YOU will build with this democratized technology. We're living in an era where breakthrough innovation isn't just possible, it's accessible.

What's your Moonshot idea? The tools to build it just got a whole lot closer.


Collected
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মার্কিন পুঁজিবাজারে সবচেয়ে বড় ধস নামালো চীনের ‘DeepSeek’

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প্রযুক্তি খাতে তোলপাড় সৃষ্টি করা ‘ডিপসিক’ কী?

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DeepSeek কিভাবে এতটা শক্তিশালী হয়েছে?

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প্রতিষ্ঠানে কর্মী হিসেবে কাজ শুরু করছে ‘এআই এজেন্ট’


ওপেনএআইয়ের প্রধান স্যাম আল্টম্যানফাইল ছবি: রয়টার্স

কৃত্রিম বুদ্ধিমত্তা বা আর্টিফিশিয়াল ইনটেলিজেন্সযুক্ত (এআই) কিছু প্রোগ্রাম বা সফটওয়্যার স্বয়ংক্রিয়ভাবে বেনামে কাজ করতে পারে। এগুলো কৃত্রিম বুদ্ধিমান প্রতিনিধি বা এআই এজেন্ট নামে পরিচিত। ব্যবসার বিভিন্ন ক্ষেত্রে এ ধরনের এআই এজেন্টের ব্যবহার শুরু হয়েছে। প্রযুক্তি বিশ্বে চ্যাটজিপিটি নামের ভার্চ্যুয়াল প্রোগ্রাম তৈরি করে পরিচিতি পাওয়া মার্কিন প্রতিষ্ঠান ওপেনএআইয়ের প্রধান স্যাম আল্টম্যান এআই এজেন্টের উজ্জ্বল ভবিষ্যৎ দেখছেন। তিনি বলছেন, এ বছরের কর্মশক্তিতে যুক্ত হতে পারে এআই এজেন্ট নামের একধরনের ভার্চ্যুয়াল কর্মীরা।

ওপেনএআইয়ের প্রধান নির্বাহী কর্মকর্তা স্যাম আল্টম্যানের লেখা একটি ব্লগ পোস্ট গত সোমবার প্রকাশিত হয়েছে। তাতে তিনি লিখেছেন, এ বছর বিভিন্ন সংস্থার হয়ে প্রথম কৃত্রিম বুদ্ধিমান এজেন্টগুলো কাজ করা শুরু করে দিতে পারে।

চ্যাটজিপিটি নির্মাতা ওপেনএআইয়ের পেছনে বিনিয়োগ করেছে বিশ্বের অন্যতম বৃহৎ প্রযুক্তি প্রতিষ্ঠান মাইক্রোসফট। প্রতিষ্ঠানটি ইতিমধ্যে তাদের এআই এজেন্ট তৈরির ঘোষণা দিয়েছে। এই এজেন্ট মূলত স্বয়ংক্রিয়ভাবে নানা কাজ সম্পন্ন করতে পারে। ভার্চ্যুয়াল এই এজেন্টকে নিয়োগদাতাও পাওয়া গেছে। পরামর্শক প্রতিষ্ঠান ম্যাকিনসে ওপেনএআইয়ের ভার্চ্যুয়াল এজেন্ট নিয়োগ দিচ্ছে।

স্যাম আল্টম্যান লিখেছেন, ‘আমরা বিশ্বাস করি, ২০২৫ সালে হয়তো প্রথম এআই এজেন্টদের “কর্মী বাহিনীতে যোগদান করতে” এবং কোম্পানির কাজের ফল পরিবর্তন করতে দেখতে পারব।’

ওপেনএআই যে এআই এজেন্ট তৈরি করছে, তার কোডনাম দেওয়া হয়েছে ‘অপারেটর’। এ মাসেই নতুন এই এজেন্টের ঘোষণা দেওয়া হয়েছে। এর আগে মাইক্রোসফটের পক্ষ থেকে কোপাইলট স্টুডিও ও অ্যানথ্রোপিক নামের একটি প্রতিষ্ঠান ক্লড ৩.৫ সনেট এআই মডেলের ঘোষণা দেয়। এ ধরনের এজেন্টগুলো নিজে থেকেই কম্পিউটারে মাউসের কার্সর নড়াচড়া ও টেক্সট টাইপ করার কাজ করতে সক্ষম হবে।

Source: https://www.prothomalo.com/world/c4iue9vrac
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Meet Agentarium: A Powerful Python Framework for Managing and Orchestrating AI Agents

AI agents have become an integral part of modern industries, automating tasks and simulating complex systems. Despite their potential, managing multiple AI agents, especially those with diverse roles, can be challenging. Developers often face issues such as inefficient communication protocols, difficulties in maintaining agent states, and limited scalability in large-scale setups. Additionally, generating synthetic data through agent interactions and configuring environments for testing can be labor-intensive. These obstacles highlight the need for a cohesive framework to simplify and optimize AI agent systems.

Meet Agentarium

Agentarium is a Python framework that aims to tackle these challenges by offering a unified platform for managing and orchestrating AI agents. It enables developers to create, manage, and coordinate AI agents effectively while providing tools to streamline their workflows. Key features include role-based agent management, checkpointing for saving and restoring agent states, and synthetic data generation—all within a single, cohesive framework.

A notable strength of Agentarium is its flexibility. Developers can use YAML configuration files to define custom environments, offering precise control over agent interactions. This makes the framework suitable for a wide range of applications, including multi-agent simulations, synthetic data generation for AI training, and managing complex workflows.

Technical Details and Benefits

Agentarium provides several features that address common challenges in AI agent development:

1. Advanced Agent Management: The framework supports the creation and orchestration of multiple AI agents with distinct roles, enabling modular and maintainable designs.

2. Interaction Management: It facilitates seamless coordination of complex interactions between agents, improving efficiency and reducing errors.

3. Checkpoint System: The ability to save and restore agent states helps mitigate risks and ensures progress is not lost during testing.

4. Synthetic Data Generation: Agentarium’s tools for generating data through agent interactions are invaluable for training and testing AI models.

5. Performance Optimization: Designed for scalability, the framework efficiently handles large-scale agent systems without compromising on performance.

6. Extensibility: Its modular architecture allows developers to customize the framework for specific project requirements.

Conclusion

Agentarium offers a practical and efficient solution for managing and orchestrating AI agents. Its thoughtful design addresses the common pain points faced by developers, from managing interactions to generating synthetic data. The framework’s flexibility and scalability make it well-suited to a variety of applications, helping developers build robust and adaptable AI systems.

As AI technologies continue to advance, tools like Agentarium will play a critical role in simplifying development processes and expanding the capabilities of AI agents. By streamlining workflows and providing robust tools, Agentarium positions itself as an essential framework for developers aiming to optimize their AI projects.

Source: https://www.marktechpost.com/2025/01/01/meet-agentarium-a-powerful-python-framework-for-managing-and-orchestrating-ai-agents/

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Hugging Face Just Released SmolAgents: A Smol Library that Enables to Run Powerful AI Agents in a Few Lines of Code

Creating intelligent agents has traditionally been a complex task, often requiring significant technical expertise and time. Developers encounter challenges like integrating APIs, configuring environments, and managing dependencies—all of which can make building these systems both daunting and resource-intensive. Simplifying these processes is critical for democratizing AI development and expanding its accessibility.

Hugging Face Introduces SmolAgents: A Simple Way to Build Code Agents
Hugging Face’s SmolAgents takes the complexity out of creating intelligent agents. With this new toolkit, developers can build agents with built-in search tools in just three lines of code. Yes, only three lines! SmolAgents uses Hugging Face’s powerful pretrained models to make the process as straightforward as possible, focusing on usability and efficiency.

The framework is lightweight and designed for simplicity. It seamlessly integrates with Hugging Face’s ecosystem, allowing developers to easily tackle tasks like data retrieval, summarization, and even code execution. This simplicity lets developers focus on solving real problems instead of wrestling with technical details.

What Makes SmolAgents Work
SmolAgents is built around an intuitive API that makes creating agents quick and easy. Here are some of its standout features:

1. Understanding Language: SmolAgents taps into advanced NLP models to understand commands and queries.
Smart Searching: It connects to external data sources to deliver fast, accurate results.
2. Running Code on the Fly: The agents can dynamically generate and execute code snippets tailored to specific tasks.
3. The toolkit’s modular design means it can adapt to various needs, from rapid prototyping to full-scale production. Using pretrained models also saves time and effort, delivering strong performance without requiring extensive customization. Plus, its lightweight nature makes it a great choice for smaller teams or individual developers working with limited resources.

Real-World Results and Examples

Even though SmolAgents is relatively new, it’s already proving its worth. Developers are using it to automate tasks like generating code, fetching real-time data, and summarizing complex information. The fact that these tasks can be done with just three lines of code shows how much time and effort SmolAgents can save.

Take one example: a developer used SmolAgents to create an agent that fetches stock market trends and generates Python scripts to visualize the data. This project, completed in a matter of seconds, highlights how SmolAgents can tackle real-world challenges with minimal setup and effort.

Conclusion

Hugging Face’s SmolAgents is a refreshing take on AI development, offering an easy, efficient way to create intelligent agents. Its three-line setup lowers the barrier to entry, making it an appealing option for developers at all skill levels. By leaning on Hugging Face’s pretrained models and keeping the design lightweight, SmolAgents is versatile enough for both experimentation and production.

For anyone curious to try it out, the open-source SmolAgents repository is packed with resources and examples to get you started. By simplifying the traditionally complex process of building AI agents, SmolAgents makes powerful AI tools more accessible and practical than ever before.

Source: https://www.marktechpost.com/2024/12/30/hugging-face-just-released-smolagents-a-smol-library-that-enables-to-run-powerful-ai-agents-in-a-few-lines-of-code/
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Immigration / US Embassy launches new scheduling mechanism
« Last post by Imrul Hasan Tusher on January 28, 2025, 12:53:33 PM »
US Embassy launches new scheduling mechanism


The US Embassy in Dhaka has introduced a new scheduling mechanism to accommodate more interviews of visa applicants.

The changes began on 15 December while the full scale schedule change will start from 2 January 2025, said the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

The US Embassy in Dhaka has informed the following important changes under the new scheduling mechanism.

Applicant's non-immigrant visa interview will be cancelled if he/she does not have a valid DS-160 confirmation (barcode) number on the day of his/her interview that the Embassy is able to retrieve in its system and which matches their manifest.

In that case, applicants will need to reschedule their interview and may have to wait a couple of months to get a new date.

The valid DS-160 confirmation (barcode) number must be reflected in the applicant's online profile; any changes in the online profile/DS-160  within a week (7 calendar days) before the visa interview will result in the cancellation of the interview appointment.

Comments

While most comments will be posted if they are on-topic and not abusive, moderation decisions are subjective. Published comments are readers’ own views and The Business Standard does not endorse any of the readers’ comments.

Source: https://www.tbsnews.net/bangladesh/us-embassy-launches-new-scheduling-mechanism-1030631
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What we know about US visas Trump supporters are clashing over


An immigration row has erupted between Donald Trump's supporters over a long-standing US visa programme.

The feud is about H-1B visas, which allow US-based companies to bring in skilled workers from abroad into certain industries.

Critics say the scheme undercuts American workers - but proponents say the visas allow the US to attract the best expertise from around the world.

The president-elect has weighed in, saying he supports the programme - despite being critical of it in the past - and tech billionaire Elon Musk has also defended it, saying it attracts the "top ~0.1% of engineering talent".

Here's what the data tell us about who gets into the US on these visas.

How many people are approved each year?

The H-1B visas for skilled workers were introduced in 1990. They are typically granted for three years, but can be extended for up to six years.

Since 2004, the number of new H-1B visas issued has been capped at 85,000 per year - 20,000 of which are reserved for foreign students with master's degrees or higher from US universities.

However, that cap does not apply to some institutions such as universities, think tanks and other non-profit research groups, so more are often issued.

People can only apply for an H-1B visa if they have a job lined up with a US-based sponsor company or institution.

The US government also approves extensions for those already working in the country.

Just over 386,000 H-1B applications were approved in the 2023 fiscal year (October 2022-September 2023), the latest year we have full data for, according to US Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) figures.

That includes almost 119,000 new H-1B visas and about 267,000 extensions to existing visas.

The 2023 total is down from more than 474,000 in 2022.

What happened under Trump?

There have been efforts to restrict the H-1B programme further in the past.

In 2017, then-president Trump signed an executive order that increased scrutiny of H-1B visa applications. The order sought to enhance fraud detection within the scheme.

Rejection rates hit an all-time high under the first Trump administration, reaching 24% in the 2018 fiscal year, compared with rejection rates of between 5-8% under the Obama administration and between 2-4% under President Biden.

However, the total number of approved applicants under the Biden administration has been similar to that under Trump's first.

In the three years that followed President Trump's executive order (2018-2020), about 1.1 million applications were approved, with about 343,000 of those being new applicants.

In the first three years of the Biden administration (2021-2023), about 1.2 million applications were approved, with almost 375,000 being new applicants.


Demand often exceeds the amount of visas granted - in most years there are thousands more applications filed than approved.

In cases in which more applications are received than visas are available, the USCIS effectively runs the H-1B programme as a lottery - which detractors believe highlights a fundamental flaw in the system.

"Ultimately, if you're going to have a skilled worker programme for 'skilled' workers, you don't award these visas via a lottery," says Eric Ruark, the director of research at NumbersUSA, an organisation that advocates for tighter immigration controls.

"Obviously, that's not how you find the best and the brightest."

We don't have a full report on the 2024 numbers yet, but preliminary figures suggest applications have increased sharply.

The number of eligible registrations published by the USCIS showed 758,994 applications in 2024, compared with 474,421 in 2023.

With Trump headed back to the White House in January, Mr Ruark says he believes that the resolution of the H-1B debate will ultimately be among the factors that defines his presidency.

"Is that second term going to be pro-American worker, or revert to the old establishment Republican position that immigration is designed to help employers - at the expense of American workers?" he says.

"That's going to be a huge fight in the second term."

What industries and companies do they work in?

The vast majority of approved applicants work in science, technology, engineering, and mathematics.

Most are in computer-related occupations - 65% in the 2023 fiscal year.

This was followed by architecture, engineering and surveying - about 10% of people approved in 2023 worked in those sectors.

In terms of companies, Amazon was the top employer of people on H-1B visas in 2024, hiring more than 13,000 staff via the scheme.

Other familiar names like Google, Meta, and Apple feature high on the employer list - ranking 4th, 6th and 8th respectively.

Tesla, one of the companies owned by Elon Musk - who has backed the programme - ranked 22nd, employing more than 1,700 people on an H-1B visa.

California and Texas were the states with the most people working on an H-1B visa in 2024.



Musk has spent hundreds of millions of dollars backing Trump and other Republicans

How much do they earn?
The median yearly income of people approved to work in the US on an H-1B visa in the 2023 fiscal year was $118,000 (£94,000).

The median yearly income for people in computer and mathematical occupations across the US is about $113,000 (£90,000) - slightly less than those in similar sectors via the H-1B programme.

The median household income in the US is about $60,000 (£48,000) per year.

While opponents of the H-1B system often make the argument that H-1B holders undercut the salaries of American workers, some immigration lawyers and experts push back on that notion.

The vast majority of H-1B holders earn more than the "prevailing wage" for their occupation - a Department of Labor-determined figure that calculates the average wage paid to similarly employed workers in a particular part of the country.

Shev Dalal-Dheini, senior director of government relations at the American Immigration Lawyers Association, told the BBC that, while prevailing wages "are not a full labour market test", they are indicative of the fact that H-1B visa holders aren't negatively affecting the rest of the workforce.

"Let's say you're a software engineer in Washington DC. You look at the going rate for software engineers in DC, and you have to certify that you're paying at least that amount," says Ms Dalal-Dheini, who also worked on H-1B issues while as an official at USCIS.

"You're not really undercutting wages that way."

Additionally, Ms Dalal-Dheini says that US firms must also pay significant fees to file H-1B petitions, often in addition to lawyer fees.

"Companies that end up sponsoring H-1B [recipients] are looking at costs of up to $5,000 to $10,000 in addition to what you would have to pay an American worker," she says.

"The bottom line is that if they could find an American worker that was qualified, most companies would probably choose to hire that American worker, because it would be a cost savings."

Where are people coming from?

The vast majority of those approved come from India.

The latest data showed around 72% of visas were issued to Indian nationals, followed by 12% to Chinese citizens.

About 1% came from the Philippines, Canada and South Korea respectively.


About 70% of those who enter the US on H-1B visas are men, with the average age of those approved being around 33.

Additional reporting by Becky Dale.

Source: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ckg87n2ml11o
80
Agentic AI / 3 Predictions for the Future of AI Agents in 2025
« Last post by Imrul Hasan Tusher on January 28, 2025, 12:33:30 PM »
3 Predictions for the Future of AI Agents in 2025

Multi-agent networks, vertical solutions, and digital proxies

2025 is going to be incredibly exciting for AI agents.

I've been deep in the weeds building agent.ai (alongside my day job as CTO of HubSpot), and I'm starting to see some fascinating patterns emerge.

Not just the obvious stuff (yes, AI agents are getting smarter), but also some other far more interesting patterns around how they're going to work together.

So in today's post, I'm going to share 3 predictions for AI agents in 2025:

The Rise of Multi-Agent Networks

Vertical Agents Will Have Their SaaS Moment

Agents Will Start Handling (Some) Digital Life

—Dharmesh


My first prediction: The future will not be just about singular agents but more about networks/systems of agents where agents can discover and collaborate with other agents.

We've made some amazing progress this past year in creating single-purpose agents. You know, the ones that can handle customer service, do company research, analyze data — that kind of thing.

This has been made possible by some incredible advancements:

Better LLMs with improved reasoning capabilities

More sophisticated structured output

Advanced function/tool calling

And even early multi-modality support (hello, audio and video!)

That's all awesome. I'm here for all of it.

But next year, I think we’re going to go much further.

2025 is going to be the year of multi-agent networks.

What I think is coming:

Agents will be able to "declare" their capabilities

They'll be able to specify their inputs and outputs

They will highlight their "experience" (think agent resumes!)

Think about it this way: In the same way that current LLMs support tool calling (whereby a set of tools is made available to the LLM, which it can then use to formulate a more useful response), in the future, agents will be provided access to a network/system of other agents. The agent can then invoke these other agents in order to handle tasks that it can't do itself.

The agent can then invoke these other agents in order to handle some number of tasks that the agent can't do itself.

We're already seeing early signs of this. There are powerful dev frameworks for building these kinds of multi-agent systems (CrewAI comes to mind), and low-code platforms (like agent.ai).

These are early days, and a lot has to happen to fulfill this network of agents vision. But it feels like we're moving this way very, very quickly.

Vertical Agents Will Have Their SaaS Moment


My second prediction: 2025 is going to be the year we see the first billion-dollar verticalized AI agent companies emerge (yes, verticalized AI agents warrant the hype they're currently getting).

Think about what happened with vertical SaaS companies in the last decade. Instead of trying to build one-size-fits-all software, companies focused on specific industries…and absolutely dominated them.

I think the same thing is about to happen with AI agents.

What I think we'll see early on:

AI agents that handle tasks involving collecting and synthesizing information

Agents that can generate digital outputs (documents, emails, reports, etc.)

Agents that know how to use common software tools and platforms

Most importantly, agents that can string these tasks together into useful workflows

The interesting part about this? Any industry that heavily relies on these kinds of tasks — collecting information, creating digital content, using software tools — is going to be transformed.

And that's a lot of industries.

Think about how much of your own work involves these exact things: gathering information, putting it together in a meaningful way, and creating some kind of output.

That's precisely where I think these verticalized AI agents are going to shine in 2025.

Agents Will Start Handling (Some) Digital Life


My third prediction: AI agents are going to start changing how we interact with technology by becoming our digital proxies — understanding our preferences and handling some basic tasks similar to the way we would.

Remember travel agents? Those humans who would understand your preferences and handle all the complex details of planning a trip for you? Then we sort of just moved to do everything ourselves — juggling dozens of websites to book a single trip.

Well, in 2025, I think we’re going to see the return of the "travel agent" model… but this time powered by AI agents.

What I think is coming in the near future:

AI agents that understand your preferences and patterns

Agents that can navigate websites and tools on your behalf

Agents that can handle complex, multi-step tasks (without constant supervision)

Example: Instead of you spending hours comparing flight prices, hotel reviews, and trying to coordinate dates, your personal AI agent could handle all of that. Just tell it "Plan me a week-long vacation to Japan in March within this budget" and it takes care of everything.

But it's not just travel. This same model could apply to:

Finding and evaluating software for your business (like choosing a new accounting system)

Managing your personal calendar and scheduling meetings for you

Working with other people's agents to get things done

These agents will improve as they work with you and learn your particulars. They'll learn your preferences, understand your habits, and become more effective over time.


That's it for my three predictions for next year.

I'll sign off this rather lengthy post with one final thought: It's not just about the practical use cases we can already imagine with AI agents — it's about the impractical ones that will suddenly become possible.

Think about all those niche software problems that were never worth solving because the market was too small. AI agents will make it practical to build custom solutions for incredibly specific needs — whether it's for a single company or even a single person.

That's what makes this moment so exciting. We're not just making existing software better, we're making entirely new categories of software possible.

2025 is going to be fun!

—Dharmesh (@dharmesh)

Source: https://simple.ai/p/3-predictions-for-the-future-of-ai-agents-in-2025
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